International Journal of Energy Engineering          
International Journal of Energy Engineering(IJEE)
Frequency: Yearly
Editor-in-Chief: Prof. Sri Bandyopadhyay(Australia)
Risk Analysis of Oil and Gas Leakage of Subsea Production System Based on Fuzzy Fault Tree
Full Paper(PDF, 618KB)
Subsea production system, being of high value to deep water oil and gas production, has become more and more important recently. Simultaneously, issues related to its safety and reliability is hotly disputed by engineers and scholars. Based on fuzzy fault tree, risk analysis of oil and gas leakage is successfully completed. Through the construction of fault tree, qualitative analysis is conducted, obtaining minimum cut sets and cut-sets importance. Moreover, quantitative analysis, based on theory of fuzzy sets, is employed, through which failure probability, probabilistic importance and critical importance have been figured out. The above-mentioned results serve as a good reference to avoid oil and gas leakage in subsea production system.
Keywords:Subsea Production System, Oil/Gas Leakage, Risk Analysis, Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis, Fuzzy set theory
Author: Xianwei Hu1, Menglan Duan2, Haitao Zhang3, Mingchen Ni2
1.China National Oil & Gas Exploration and Development Corporation, Beijing 100034, China
2.Offshore Oil and Gas Research Center, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, PR China
3.Offshore Oil Engineering Co. LTD., Tanggu, Tianjin 300452, PR China
  1. Tiago Pace Estefen, and Daniel Santos Werneck etc. Subsea production system for gas field offshore Brazil, Federal University of Rio de Janerio, 2005.
  2. J.P.Dejean, D.Averbuch, and M. Gainville etc. Integrating flow assurance into risk management of deep offshore field development[C]. OTC17237, 2005, pp 1-15.
  3. Center for Chemical Process Safety. Guidelines for Risk Based Process Safety [M]. USA, New Jersey: John Wiley&Sons, Inc. 2007:209-242.
  4. John D. Andrews, and T. Robert Moss. Reliability and Risk Assessment[M]. Professional Engineering Publishing; 2nd Edition: 201-267.
  5. Huacan Fang. Offshore oil engineering[M]. Beijing: Petroleum industry, 2010:254-369.
  6. Kececioglu Dimitri. Reliability Engineering Handbook Volume1[M]. Englewood Cliffs. New Jersey. 1991.
  7. Ayhan Mentes, and Ismail H. Helvacioglu. An application of fuzzy fault tree analysis for spread mooring systems [J]. Ocean Engineering, 2011: 285-294.
  8. Dong Yuhua, and Yu Datao. Estimation of failure probability of oil and gas transmission pipelines by fuzzy fault tree analysis [J]. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2005:83-88.
  9. V.R. Renjith, and G.Madhu etc. Two-dimensional fuzzy fault tree analysis for chlorine release from a chlor-alkali industry using expert elicitation[J]. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2010:103-110.
  10. ISO 13628-4. Petroleum and natural gas industries-Design and operation of subsea production systems-Subsea wellhead and tree equipment[S]. IHS, 1999.
  11. ISO 13628-6. Petroleum and natural gas industries-Design and operation of subsea production systems-Subsea production control system[S]. IHS, 2006.
  12. Clemen, R.T., and Winkler, R.L. Combing probability distribution from experts in risk analysis [J]. Risk Analysis, 1999,19(2):187-203.
  13. Jinglin Zhang, and Guozhang Cui. System Safety Engineering[M]. Beijing: Coal Industry, 2002:54-67.